Simulation Dashboard

Total Profit

+$362.56

Realized profit over 2 trading days

Model Name

Legolas Leverage

Age: 1

Ancestor: Aragorn Alpha

Latest Confidence

88.7

prediction_final · AMZN

Latest Potential

52.1

UP · target $87.28

Last Update

3:59 PM

Latest entry: AMZN

⬆ Signal Explorer — AMZN

End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 14:06 near $85.77. Prediction closed at 14:26 near $84.86 for $-79.17 realized P/L. End-of-day price $85.00; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.90%. Double bottom detected at 14:06: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $87.28 (1.76%). Combined outlook: UP toward $87.28, approximately 1.76%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.34). Confidence: 88.7/100. Potential: 52.1/100.

UP · target $87.28 · expected move 1.76% · potential 52.1

Trade History

Latest simulated positions, consolidated from entry through exit. Click a trade to view its originating signal in Signal Explorer.

CALM LONG

Entry: BUY $56.37 · 01/04/2023 10:10:00
qty 98 · notional $5,524.26

$56.37

OPEN LONG

AMZN LONG

Entry: BUY $85.77 · 01/04/2023 14:06:00
qty 87 · notional $7,461.99
Exit: SELL $84.86 · 01/04/2023 14:26:00

$85.77 → $84.86

-$79.17

CLOSED LONG

AMKR SHORT

Entry: SELL SHORT $26.28 · 01/04/2023 10:46:00
qty 210 · notional $5,518.80
Exit: BUY TO COVER $26.51 · 01/04/2023 11:09:00

$26.28 → $26.51

-$48.30

CLOSED SHORT

AMD LONG

Entry: BUY $63.72 · 01/04/2023 10:45:00
qty 91 · notional $5,798.52
Exit: SELL $64.37 · 01/04/2023 11:14:00

$63.72 → $64.37

+$59.15

CLOSED LONG

AMD LONG

Entry: BUY $63.85 · 01/04/2023 10:37:00
qty 86 · notional $5,491.10
Exit: SELL $63.37 · 01/04/2023 10:42:00

$63.85 → $63.37

-$41.28

CLOSED LONG

AEHR SHORT

Entry: SELL SHORT $17.86 · 01/04/2023 11:45:00
qty 321 · notional $5,733.06
Exit: BUY TO COVER $18.00 · 01/04/2023 12:31:00

$17.86 → $18.00

-$44.94

CLOSED SHORT

AEHR LONG

Entry: BUY $17.85 · 01/04/2023 10:45:00
qty 348 · notional $6,211.80
Exit: SELL $17.86 · 01/04/2023 11:45:00

$17.85 → $17.86

+$3.48

CLOSED LONG

AEHR LONG

Entry: BUY $17.99 · 01/04/2023 10:21:00
qty 290 · notional $5,217.10
Exit: SELL $17.82 · 01/04/2023 10:27:00

$17.99 → $17.82

-$49.30

CLOSED LONG

Prediction Analysis

Pattern attribution and realized performance from completed simulated trades.

Closed Trades

Win Rate

51.95%

Avg P/L

+$4.71

Profit Factor

1.21

Avg Confidence

78.8

Open Trades

Patterns generating predictions

Pattern

Trades

Win Rate

P/L

Falling wedge

33 trades

57.58%

+$284.75

Bear flag

16 trades

56.25%

+$100.87

Double top

12 trades

41.67%

-$3.53

Bull flag

6 trades

16.67%

-$160.81

Descending triangle

5 trades

80%

+$178.63

Rising wedge

5 trades

60%

+$70.90

Most common combination

Falling wedge
33 completed trades · 57.58% win rate · +$284.75 realized P/L

Most active: Falling wedge generated or participated in 33 completed trades.
Best win rate among tracked patterns: Descending triangle at 80%.
Payoff: avg win +$52.79 · avg loss -$47.27.

Full Prediction Analysis

Recent Signals

Twenty-five most recent simulation entries. Click a symbol to inspect its chart in Signal Explorer.

Symbol	Signal	Target	Move	Potential	Confidence	Found	Message
AMZN	⬆UP	$87.28	1.76%	52.1	88.7	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 14:06 near $85.77. Prediction closed at 14:26 near $84.86 for $-79.17 realized P/L. End-of-day price $85.00; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.90%. Double bottom detected at 14:06: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $87.28 (1.76%). Combined outlook: UP toward $87.28, approximately 1.76%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.34). Confidence: 88.7/100. Potential: 52.1/100.
AMKR	↓DOWN	$26.01	1.04%	27	77.7	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 10:46 near $26.28. Prediction closed at 11:09 near $26.51 for $-48.30 realized P/L. End-of-day price $25.67; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +2.32%. Rising wedge detected at 10:46: confirmed bearish setup: support and resistance are both rising but converging, which can precede a downside break. Estimated move down toward $26.01 (1.04%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $26.01, approximately 1.04%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.31). Confidence: 77.7/100. Potential: 27.0/100.
AMD	↑UP	$64.25	0.84%	22	79	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 10:45 near $63.72. Prediction closed at 11:14 near $64.37 for $59.15 realized P/L. End-of-day price $64.51; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +1.24%. Falling wedge detected at 10:45: confirmed bullish setup: support and resistance are both falling but converging, which can precede an upside break. Estimated move up toward $64.25 (0.84%). Combined outlook: UP toward $64.25, approximately 0.84%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.63). Confidence: 79.0/100. Potential: 22.0/100.
AMD	↑UP	$64.38	0.83%	21.5	77.6	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 10:37 near $63.85. Prediction closed at 10:42 near $63.37 for $-41.28 realized P/L. End-of-day price $64.51; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +1.03%. Falling wedge detected at 10:37: confirmed bullish setup: support and resistance are both falling but converging, which can precede an upside break. Estimated move up toward $64.38 (0.83%). Combined outlook: UP toward $64.38, approximately 0.83%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.61). Confidence: 77.6/100. Potential: 21.5/100.
AEHR	↓DOWN	$17.65	1.2%	31.4	78.7	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 11:45 near $17.86. Prediction closed at 12:31 near $18.00 for $-44.94 realized P/L. End-of-day price $17.90; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.22%. Double top detected at 11:45: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $17.65 (1.20%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $17.65, approximately 1.20%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.11). Confidence: 78.7/100. Potential: 31.4/100.
AEHR	⬆UP	$18.10	1.41%	38.1	81.1	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 10:45 near $17.85. Prediction closed at 11:45 near $17.86 for $3.48 realized P/L. End-of-day price $17.90; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.28%. Falling wedge detected at 10:45: confirmed bullish setup: support and resistance are both falling but converging, which can precede an upside break. Estimated move up toward $18.10 (1.41%). Combined outlook: UP toward $18.10, approximately 1.41%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.04). Confidence: 81.1/100. Potential: 38.1/100.
AEHR	↑UP	$18.24	1.4%	35.5	76.1	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 10:21 near $17.99. Prediction closed at 10:27 near $17.82 for $-49.30 realized P/L. End-of-day price $17.90; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.50%. Falling wedge detected at 10:21: confirmed bullish setup: support and resistance are both falling but converging, which can precede an upside break. Estimated move up toward $18.24 (1.40%). Combined outlook: UP toward $18.24, approximately 1.40%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.11). Confidence: 76.1/100. Potential: 35.5/100.
AEHR	⬇DOWN	$17.53	2.7%	74.2	82.3	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 10:17 near $18.02. Prediction closed at 10:21 near $17.99 for $10.74 realized P/L. End-of-day price $17.90; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.67%. Bear flag detected at 10:17: bearish continuation: a strong downward impulse is followed by a controlled upward-sloping consolidation. Estimated move down toward $17.53 (2.70%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $17.53, approximately 2.70%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.16). Confidence: 82.3/100. Potential: 74.2/100.
ACAD	↓DOWN	$16.47	0.84%	21.5	76.4	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 10:51 near $16.61. Prediction closed at 11:38 near $16.76 for $-47.55 realized P/L. End-of-day price $17.08; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -2.83%. Rising wedge detected at 10:51: confirmed bearish setup: support and resistance are both rising but converging, which can precede a downside break. Estimated move down toward $16.47 (0.84%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $16.47, approximately 0.84%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.05). Confidence: 76.4/100. Potential: 21.5/100.
AAPL	↑UP	$126.41	0.47%	12.4	78.8	1900-01-01 15:59:00	End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 10:35 near $125.82. Prediction closed at 11:15 near $127.09 for $57.15 realized P/L. End-of-day price $126.29; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.37%. Falling wedge detected at 10:35: confirmed bullish setup: support and resistance are both falling but converging, which can precede an upside break. Estimated move up toward $126.41 (0.47%). Combined outlook: UP toward $126.41, approximately 0.47%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.31). Confidence: 78.8/100. Potential: 12.4/100.